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Deposit Decision · Buy Now Or Wait

Pay LMI Now Or Save More First?

$700K property. $70K deposit (10%). Pay LMI of ~$14K and buy now, or wait 2 years to save $140K (20%) and skip LMI? The answer isn’t what most people think.

10%
Minimum deposit to avoid FHB Guarantee
~2%
Typical LMI cost as % of loan amount
5-7%
Historical AU property growth p.a.

The maths (most people get this wrong)

The intuitive answer is ‘save more, avoid LMI.’ The actual answer depends on how fast prices rise while you wait. In a rising market, paying LMI and buying now almost always beats waiting.

Buying now wins when prices rise faster than you save
If prices rise 5-7% per year (AU historical average) and you’re saving 10% per year of your target deposit, the property gets more expensive faster than you save.
Waiting wins when prices are flat or falling
If median prices are flat or dropping and you can save meaningfully in 12-24 months, the LMI saving PLUS the lower purchase price stack up.
The First Home Guarantee changes the maths entirely
If you qualify for the FHG (5% deposit, no LMI), the ‘wait to save 20%’ case almost never wins.

The maths (most people get this wrong) — tap to explore

The intuitive answer is ‘save more, avoid LMI.’ The actual answer depends on how fast prices rise while you wait. In a rising market, paying LMI and buying now almost always beats waiting.

Worked example — Sydney 2026

Scenario A — Buy now with 10% deposit, pay LMI:

Target property: $900K. Deposit: $90K (10%). LMI: ~$18K (added to loan, financed). Loan: $810K + $18K LMI = $828K.

Scenario B — Wait 18 months to save 20%:

In 18 months (assuming 5% p.a. AU growth), same home is ~$970K. 20% deposit on $970K = $194K. You need to save an extra $104K on top of your $90K (challenging for most). No LMI.

Net outcome: Scenario A puts you in the property 18 months earlier, with $18K LMI offset by $70K of price appreciation you didn’t have to pay. You’re $52K+ ahead.

When waiting actually wins

Waiting beats buying-with-LMI when:

1. Market is flat or dropping. If prices stay flat for 12-24 months (rare in AU historically but happened 2018, 2022), saving a bigger deposit wins.

2. You can save aggressively AND your income is rising fast. A young professional going from $80K to $140K in 2 years effectively triples their savings power.

3. Your target property type is niche. Highly specific properties (waterfront, acreage) can sit on market longer and defy broader growth trends.

The First Home Guarantee changes everything

If you qualify for the First Home Guarantee (FHG), you can buy with a 5% deposit and no LMI. The Federal Government acts as guarantor for the other 15%.

Income caps (2026): $125K single / $200K couple. Price caps: vary by state — $1.5M Sydney, $950K Melbourne, $1M Brisbane etc. 35,000 places per financial year.

In this scenario, the ‘wait to save 20%’ case never wins mathematically, because you’re skipping LMI without needing the larger deposit.

The hidden cost of waiting — rent

Most people forget to factor in rent paid while waiting. $650/week rent × 78 weeks (18 months) = $50,700 paid to a landlord. That money is gone.

Even if waiting ‘saves’ $18K in LMI, it costs $50K+ in rent — a $30K+ net loss before you even factor property appreciation.

This is why the full calculation (LMI paid vs. rent saved vs. property appreciation avoided) almost always favours buying sooner with LMI when market conditions are normal-rising.

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Quick Answers On pay lmi or wait

Should I pay LMI or wait to save 20%?

In a normal-rising market, buying now with LMI usually wins because property appreciation while waiting outpaces the LMI cost. In a flat/falling market, waiting can win. Always factor in the rent you’ll pay while waiting. If you qualify for the First Home Guarantee (5% no LMI), buying now almost always wins.

Is LMI a waste of money?

LMI is commonly called ‘dead money’ because it protects the lender, not you. BUT the real question isn’t whether LMI is efficient — it’s whether paying LMI gets you into the property market sooner, which almost always creates more wealth than avoiding LMI.

Can I avoid LMI with a 10% deposit?

Yes — via the First Home Guarantee (5% deposit, no LMI, subject to income and price caps), a family guarantor loan (using parental equity as security), or certain professional packages (doctors, accountants, lawyers often access 90-95% LVR without LMI via specialist lender policies).

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